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Friday, October 2, 2026

US Job Growth Slows Sharply in September 2026 as Unemployment Rises to 4.2%

 

US jobs report September 2026 shows 29,000 jobs added and unemployment rising to 4.2 percent

The U.S. labour market lost momentum in September 2026, with employers adding far fewer jobs than economists had expected and the unemployment rate edging higher.

Nonfarm payrolls increased by only 29,000 jobs in September, according to the U.S. Labor Department’s employment report released on Friday. Economists surveyed by Reuters had expected an increase of around 90,000 jobs. Reuters

The unemployment rate increased to 4.2% from 4.1% in August, although the rise partly reflected more Americans entering the labour force.

The latest figures provide an important snapshot of an economy that is still creating jobs but doing so at a considerably slower pace.

September Hiring Falls Well Below Expectations

September’s 29,000 increase represented a sharp slowdown from August.

August payroll growth was also revised down to 133,000, compared with the previously reported 162,000.

Revisions covering July and August showed that the U.S. economy created 60,000 fewer jobs than previously estimated during those two months. July was revised to show a loss of 10,000 jobs. Reuters

Over the latest three months, employment growth averaged approximately 51,000 jobs per month.

Economists cited by Reuters estimate that roughly 50,000 new jobs per month may currently be needed to keep pace with growth in the working-age population.

Unemployment Rate Rises to 4.2%

The unemployment rate moved from 4.1% in August to 4.2% in September.

However, the increase does not necessarily mean that large numbers of workers suddenly lost their jobs.

Household survey data showed employment rising by approximately 406,000, while about 485,000 people entered the labour force.

The labour-force participation rate consequently increased from 61.6% to 61.8%. Reuters

This means part of the increase in unemployment came from more people actively looking for work.

Wage Growth Also Cools

Another significant development was slower wage growth.

Average hourly earnings increased only 0.1% during September, following a 0.3% increase in August.

On an annual basis, wage growth slowed to 3.0% from 3.1%. Reuters

Wage trends matter because they affect household spending power and can also influence inflation.

Slower wage growth may reduce some inflationary pressure, but it could also make it harder for consumers to maintain strong spending if living costs continue rising.

Healthcare Remains an Important Source of Jobs

Employment performance differed significantly across industries.

Healthcare added approximately 17,000 jobs, although that was below its average monthly increase of 33,000 during the previous 12 months.

Construction employment increased by around 11,000, while manufacturing added approximately 9,000 positions.

Leisure and hospitality gained around 10,000 jobs. Reuters

These gains helped prevent the overall payroll figure from weakening further.

Other Industries Cut Jobs

Several parts of the economy moved in the opposite direction.

Information-sector employment fell by approximately 10,000, while financial activities lost around 7,000 positions.

Professional and business services employment declined by approximately 9,000.

Government payrolls dropped by around 17,000 jobs, with much of the decline occurring in local government outside education. Reuters

Only 49% of industries reported employment growth during September, down from 57.6% in August.

A ‘Low-Hire, Low-Fire’ Labour Market

Despite weak hiring, the latest figures do not currently point to widespread layoffs.

Economists have increasingly described the U.S. labour market as a “low-hire, low-fire” environment.

Businesses appear more cautious about adding new employees, but many are also retaining their existing workers.

Initial applications for unemployment benefits have remained historically low, providing another indication that broad-based layoffs have not yet emerged. Reuters

This distinction is important. Slower hiring can make finding a new job more difficult without necessarily producing a sudden surge in unemployment.

What the Report Could Mean for the Federal Reserve

The jobs report will also be closely examined by the Federal Reserve.

The Fed increased its benchmark overnight interest-rate range by 25 basis points in September to 3.75%–4.00%.

After the September employment figures were released, financial markets reduced expectations for another rate increase at the Fed’s October 27–28 meeting, although market expectations can change quickly as new economic data arrive. Reuters

Inflation remains a major consideration for policymakers.

Therefore, one weak employment report alone does not determine what the Federal Reserve will do next.

Why Consumers Should Watch the Jobs Market

Employment and wages are central to household finances.

When Americans feel secure in their jobs and receive stronger wage increases, they are generally better positioned to spend on housing, travel, vehicles and other goods and services.

A prolonged slowdown in hiring could eventually make consumers more cautious.

September’s weaker wage growth is therefore important alongside the headline payroll number.

Reuters reported that wage growth is currently lagging inflation, while consumers have been saving less and using some accumulated savings to support spending. Reuters

Long-Term Unemployment Shows Some Pressure

Not every part of the report was reassuring.

The number of people experiencing long-term unemployment increased.

The median duration of unemployment moved to approximately 11.5 weeks, close to its highest level in four and a half years.

At the same time, a broader unemployment measure that includes people working part-time because they cannot find full-time employment declined slightly from 7.7% to 7.6%. Reuters

These mixed signals illustrate why the labour market cannot be assessed using the headline unemployment rate alone.

What Happens Next?

Investors, businesses and households will now watch upcoming inflation, consumer-spending and employment data for evidence of whether September’s weak hiring was temporary or the beginning of a more persistent slowdown.

Future revisions to the payroll numbers will also matter. The latest report itself demonstrates that initial employment estimates can change substantially.

For the Federal Reserve, the central question will be whether weaker employment growth becomes serious enough to outweigh continuing concerns about inflation.

For American workers, meanwhile, the most important issue is whether the current low-hiring environment eventually develops into broader job losses.

Bottom line: The United States added only 29,000 jobs in September 2026, far below the roughly 90,000 expected by economists surveyed by Reuters. Unemployment rose to 4.2%, while annual wage growth slowed to 3.0%. The figures show a cooling labour market, although there is not yet evidence of widespread layoffs.

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